/linked/2016/12/15/cybart-apple-watch

Comments

anonymous:
Can't wait to get the Trumpkin take on this.
11:56 pm — Thursday, 15 December 2016
Daring Hemorrhoid:
Jeebus
12:06 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
Dicknose:
Whats a Trumpkin?

Is that like a Blumpkin?

If so, I am game.

Back on topic so few people are buying these things so who gives a shit?

The Watch is not the post Steve Jobs product Tim Cook/Jony Ive thought it would be.

If someone wants a watch, watch Apple eat shit for the next decade. Apple will do nothing more than make overpriced phones and overpriced tablets.

It's looking more and more like the Apple train has a flat tire.

12:12 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
anonymous:
Garmin makes smartwatches?
2:18 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
FFS:
I love how fitbit doesn't count - they only shipped 35 million watches over the past 2 years and bought pebble. But nothing they make is as smart as Apple...
3:09 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
To Be Fair:
Yeah, so maybe it's not worth buying smartwatches right now?
3:40 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
al-anon:
Fitbit doesn't run apps is the difference? Does Garmin?
3:56 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
anonymous:
There is nothing left of John Gruber.
4:26 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
anonymous:
How is this "the elephant in the room"?

The category is unpopular, so there aren't many players. When it picks up, a crapload of new entrants will emerge.

What's the story here?
5:11 am — Friday, 16 December 2016
heh:
"There is nothing left of John Gruber"

haha

I don't discredit this idea... but what do we mean 0-0
12:56 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
Daring Hemorrhoid:
Pachydermatous
6:19 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
anonymous:
> Garmin makes smartwatches?

They are very big with runners and cyclers. I have an Apple Watch, but in my bubble, Garmins are more popular by far.
7:38 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
anonymous:
What is smart about the Garmin watch? It has heart rate and GPS.

Maybe that's all exercising people want from their watch.
7:59 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
webOS & BB10 forever:
So the big fat elephant in the room nobody is talking about is Apple? If memory serves me right, a few years ago LG previewed a watch powered by webOS.
8:05 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
Patrick Henry, the 2nd:
This is why I come here: amazing insightful analysis.
8:38 pm — Friday, 16 December 2016
Daring Hemorrhoid:
Do you want some deep thoughts? Here are some:

How big is the market anyway?
Why do people buy them?
What's the difference between a fad and a market?
What's the damn thing really for anyway?

My AW is basically a third screen. It's a pager on steroids. Is that worth $599? It is to me.

I use it to keep up with the things I pay attention to. If you don't pay attention to a lot of stuff the AW is useless.

Garmin watches are really single-shot devices. GPS + running? Get a Garmin. Everyone I know who got a Garmin got it because Apple didn't have GPS. AW has a GPS now, so expect Garmin's sales to tank next year. Nobody'll buy one unless they have an android device, and if you're a hardcore runner you use iOS. If you buy a cheap phone are you going to buy a $300 accessory? No.

Samsung watch? Who cares. Let's say 5% of iOS users buy an AW. I'll bet that less than .5% of Samsung users will buy a Samsung watch. Their users are cheap.

The AW is a way to make incremental revenue from Apple's base, period. In that it's doing an excellent job. Are they making money? In an absolute scale they're probably making a lot of money. But at iPhone scale the AW is puny...but it's really there to extend the iPhone, so if it's OK if it's revenue-neutral or positive.

I would guess that at the end of next year it'll be the AW and Samsung, and Samsung will do it only to have feature parity with iOS.

What Samsung needs to do is go with a glasses-style notification. How about a monocle/earpiece?
1:13 am — Saturday, 17 December 2016
ass:
"if you're a hardcore runner you use iOS"

Hahahah of course, everyone knows that!
6:14 pm — Saturday, 17 December 2016
Anonymynous:
I've finally got the iPhone I was saving for so I can join the running club.

Now I'm saving for some shoes.
9:28 am — Wednesday, 21 December 2016
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